Prices at 2002 Levels - Still to Fall

First-quarter national home prices fall back to 2002 levels

By J.W. ELPHINSTONE, AP

Tuesday, May 26, 2009

NEW YORK — National home prices are at levels not seen since the 2002 Winter Olympics, but a closer look at a housing index released Tuesday shows real estate is indeed local with some prices in certain cities falling to pre-2000 values.

The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller National Home Price index reported home prices tumbled by 19.1 percent in the first quarter, the most in its 21-year history. Home prices have fallen 32.2 percent since peaking in the second quarter of 2006.

"By our estimation, the composite 20-city index is perhaps two-thirds of the way through its ultimate total decline in this cycle," according to Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist for MFR Inc.

It's hard to believe it could get much worse for homeowners in Detroit. Homes there are worth what they sold for in 1995. And while that's good news for homebuyers, the implosion of the auto industry and economic fallout means fewer buyers have the money to qualify for a mortgage.

"I feel like houses here are free," said Detroit area real estate agent Rose Marie Jouan with Re/Max Showcase Homes. Her house that she sold in 2004 for $200,000 is on the sales block, bank-owned, for $86,000.

In Phoenix and Las Vegas, where prices have plunged by half since their peaks, home values have receded to levels not seen since the beginning of the real estate boom. Phoenix prices are at early 2001 levels and Las Vegas values hover at mid-2002 prices.

Also, the rates of annual decline for the 10- and 20-city indexes slowed in March, the second straight month they didn't set record price drops. The 20-city index fell by 18.7 percent from the year before and the 10-city index lost 18.6 percent.

Still, there are no signs home prices nationally have hit bottom.

"We see no evidence that a recovery in home prices has begun" said David M. Blitzer, chairman of the S&P index committee.

All 20 cities showed monthly and annual price declines, with nine setting annual records. Fifteen cities posted double-digit drops and Phoenix, Las Vegas and San Francisco recorded declines of more than 30 %.

Minneapolis posted a 6.1 percent decline from February to March, the biggest monthly drop on record for any metros in the indexes. Ron Peltier, chairman and chief executive of HomeServices of America, attributed the drop to a jump in distressed sales in March 2009.

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